Forecast models for Milan indicate overnight lows on August 23 ranging primarily from 17–21°C, driven by clearing skies after thunderstorms on August 21 and light winds favoring moderate radiative cooling. Recent shifts toward sunnier conditions on August 22 have raised minimum temperatures relative to the cooler, cloudier pattern earlier in the week, while urban heat retention and humidity levels limit further drops. Ensemble differences between sources—such as Met Office guidance near 21°C versus BBC projections around 17°C—stem from variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, keeping probabilities tightly clustered near 16–19°C. Traders weigh these model spreads against typical late-August climatology of 17–19°C lows, with new high-resolution runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.