Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Moscow's overnight low into August 22 will likely settle near 11–13 °C amid a post-frontal cool-down, with light winds, high humidity near 75 %, and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Recent showers on the 21st have lowered surface temperatures and increased moisture, narrowing the spread between numerical weather prediction runs and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 9–14 °C. Traders weigh these factors against typical late-August climatology, where Moscow averages roughly 13–14 °C lows, while noting that clearer skies or stronger advection could push the minimum higher or allow brief dips toward single digits if dew points fall further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 22 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 22 de agosto?
6°C or below 60%
12°C 42%
11°C 40%
13°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
6°C or below
60%
7°C
25%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
29%
11°C
40%
12°C
42%
13°C
40%
14°C
38%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
36%
6°C or below 60%
12°C 42%
11°C 40%
13°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
6°C or below
$133 Vol.
60%
7°C
$58 Vol.
25%
8°C
$10 Vol.
39%
9°C
$10 Vol.
39%
10°C
$11 Vol.
29%
11°C
$11 Vol.
40%
12°C
$20 Vol.
42%
13°C
$10 Vol.
40%
14°C
$10 Vol.
38%
15°C
$10 Vol.
3%
16°C or higher
$80 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Moscow's overnight low into August 22 will likely settle near 11–13 °C amid a post-frontal cool-down, with light winds, high humidity near 75 %, and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Recent showers on the 21st have lowered surface temperatures and increased moisture, narrowing the spread between numerical weather prediction runs and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 9–14 °C. Traders weigh these factors against typical late-August climatology, where Moscow averages roughly 13–14 °C lows, while noting that clearer skies or stronger advection could push the minimum higher or allow brief dips toward single digits if dew points fall further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volumen
$363Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Moscow's overnight low into August 22 will likely settle near 11–13 °C amid a post-frontal cool-down, with light winds, high humidity near 75 %, and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Recent showers on the 21st have lowered surface temperatures and increased moisture, narrowing the spread between numerical weather prediction runs and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 9–14 °C. Traders weigh these factors against typical late-August climatology, where Moscow averages roughly 13–14 °C lows, while noting that clearer skies or stronger advection could push the minimum higher or allow brief dips toward single digits if dew points fall further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$363Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Moscow's overnight low into August 22 will likely settle near 11–13 °C amid a post-frontal cool-down, with light winds, high humidity near 75 %, and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Recent showers on the 21st have lowered surface temperatures and increased moisture, narrowing the spread between numerical weather prediction runs and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 9–14 °C. Traders weigh these factors against typical late-August climatology, where Moscow averages roughly 13–14 °C lows, while noting that clearer skies or stronger advection could push the minimum higher or allow brief dips toward single digits if dew points fall further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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