**Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) and supporting numerical models project a nighttime minimum near 6–7°C in Moscow on September 16, 2026, under variable to clear skies with light northerly winds and no significant cold-air advection.** Daytime highs are expected around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus, backed by multiple model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal radiative cooling beyond that threshold, drives the market's strong 95% implied probability for a 6°C low. Official resolution will hinge on the precise recorded minimum from authorized stations. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-expected clear-sky radiative cooling or localized measurement variations pushing the low to 4–5°C, though current atmospheric conditions make colder outcomes unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 16 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 16 de septiembre?
6°C 99.5%
2°C 1.0%
3°C 1.0%
4°C 1.0%
$568 Vol.
$568 Vol.
16 sep 2026
1°C o menos
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
Sí
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C o más
No
6°C 99.5%
2°C 1.0%
3°C 1.0%
4°C 1.0%
$568 Vol.
$568 Vol.
16 sep 2026
1°C o menos
$26 Vol.
No
2°C
$10 Vol.
No
3°C
$36 Vol.
No
4°C
$46 Vol.
No
5°C
$51 Vol.
No
6°C
$129 Vol.
Sí
7°C
$203 Vol.
No
8°C
$16 Vol.
No
9°C
$0 Vol.
No
10°C
$30 Vol.
No
11°C o más
$22 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) and supporting numerical models project a nighttime minimum near 6–7°C in Moscow on September 16, 2026, under variable to clear skies with light northerly winds and no significant cold-air advection.** Daytime highs are expected around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus, backed by multiple model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal radiative cooling beyond that threshold, drives the market's strong 95% implied probability for a 6°C low. Official resolution will hinge on the precise recorded minimum from authorized stations. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-expected clear-sky radiative cooling or localized measurement variations pushing the low to 4–5°C, though current atmospheric conditions make colder outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$568Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) and supporting numerical models project a nighttime minimum near 6–7°C in Moscow on September 16, 2026, under variable to clear skies with light northerly winds and no significant cold-air advection.** Daytime highs are expected around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus, backed by multiple model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal radiative cooling beyond that threshold, drives the market's strong 95% implied probability for a 6°C low. Official resolution will hinge on the precise recorded minimum from authorized stations. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-expected clear-sky radiative cooling or localized measurement variations pushing the low to 4–5°C, though current atmospheric conditions make colder outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$568Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) and supporting numerical models project a nighttime minimum near 6–7°C in Moscow on September 16, 2026, under variable to clear skies with light northerly winds and no significant cold-air advection.** Daytime highs are expected around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus, backed by multiple model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal radiative cooling beyond that threshold, drives the market's strong 95% implied probability for a 6°C low. Official resolution will hinge on the precise recorded minimum from authorized stations. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-expected clear-sky radiative cooling or localized measurement variations pushing the low to 4–5°C, though current atmospheric conditions make colder outcomes unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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