**Forecast uncertainty for Moscow’s overnight minimum on September 18 centers on competing model signals for cloud cover, showers, and radiative cooling.** Latest guidance from sources including GFS, ICON, and regional models shows daytime highs near 17–20 °C with overnight lows most often projected between 10–13 °C under variable cloudiness and light westerly winds, though some runs allow clearer skies that could push the minimum a degree or two lower. Traders price the 5 °C-or-below outcome near even odds with 15 °C-plus because small differences in timing of any showers or high-cloud decks can alter surface cooling rates by several degrees; historical September minima for the date average around 7–8 °C, so current mild advection keeps extremes unlikely. Updated model runs and official Hydrometcenter briefings over the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the tight spread between the 11–12 °C and broader tail outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 18 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 18 de septiembre?
5°C o menos 78%
15°C o más 78%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
5°C o menos
78%
6°C
18%
7°C
18%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
30%
12°C
22%
13°C
40%
14°C
19%
15°C o más
78%
5°C o menos 78%
15°C o más 78%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
5°C o menos
$0 Vol.
78%
6°C
$0 Vol.
18%
7°C
$0 Vol.
18%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C o más
$0 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for Moscow’s overnight minimum on September 18 centers on competing model signals for cloud cover, showers, and radiative cooling.** Latest guidance from sources including GFS, ICON, and regional models shows daytime highs near 17–20 °C with overnight lows most often projected between 10–13 °C under variable cloudiness and light westerly winds, though some runs allow clearer skies that could push the minimum a degree or two lower. Traders price the 5 °C-or-below outcome near even odds with 15 °C-plus because small differences in timing of any showers or high-cloud decks can alter surface cooling rates by several degrees; historical September minima for the date average around 7–8 °C, so current mild advection keeps extremes unlikely. Updated model runs and official Hydrometcenter briefings over the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the tight spread between the 11–12 °C and broader tail outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for Moscow’s overnight minimum on September 18 centers on competing model signals for cloud cover, showers, and radiative cooling.** Latest guidance from sources including GFS, ICON, and regional models shows daytime highs near 17–20 °C with overnight lows most often projected between 10–13 °C under variable cloudiness and light westerly winds, though some runs allow clearer skies that could push the minimum a degree or two lower. Traders price the 5 °C-or-below outcome near even odds with 15 °C-plus because small differences in timing of any showers or high-cloud decks can alter surface cooling rates by several degrees; historical September minima for the date average around 7–8 °C, so current mild advection keeps extremes unlikely. Updated model runs and official Hydrometcenter briefings over the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the tight spread between the 11–12 °C and broader tail outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty for Moscow’s overnight minimum on September 18 centers on competing model signals for cloud cover, showers, and radiative cooling.** Latest guidance from sources including GFS, ICON, and regional models shows daytime highs near 17–20 °C with overnight lows most often projected between 10–13 °C under variable cloudiness and light westerly winds, though some runs allow clearer skies that could push the minimum a degree or two lower. Traders price the 5 °C-or-below outcome near even odds with 15 °C-plus because small differences in timing of any showers or high-cloud decks can alter surface cooling rates by several degrees; historical September minima for the date average around 7–8 °C, so current mild advection keeps extremes unlikely. Updated model runs and official Hydrometcenter briefings over the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the tight spread between the 11–12 °C and broader tail outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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