Latest forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF project Munich's minimum temperature on August 27 in the 16–19°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light easterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Dew points near 14–16°C and weak mixing further support these elevated lows relative to the 12.9°C climatological average. Market-implied odds clustering tightly around 14–17°C reflect model spread in boundary-layer processes, urban heat effects, and exact cloud timing, with traders weighting ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk below 13°C absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 27 de agosto?
14°C 32%
15°C 30%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
8%
12°C
11%
13°C
22%
14°C
32%
15°C
30%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
8%
19°C
14%
20°C or higher
9%
14°C 32%
15°C 30%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
8%
12°C
11%
13°C
22%
14°C
32%
15°C
30%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
8%
19°C
14%
20°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF project Munich's minimum temperature on August 27 in the 16–19°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light easterly winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Dew points near 14–16°C and weak mixing further support these elevated lows relative to the 12.9°C climatological average. Market-implied odds clustering tightly around 14–17°C reflect model spread in boundary-layer processes, urban heat effects, and exact cloud timing, with traders weighting ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk below 13°C absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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