Trader sentiment for Munich's September 13 overnight low shows tight clustering around 7–12°C because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate modest variability in clear-sky radiative cooling and weak southerly advection ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. With probabilities spread across multiple bins, the market captures genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that can shift minimums by 2–4°C. Official guidance from the German Weather Service emphasizes typical early-autumn baselines near 10°C, yet model spread widens with any changes in cloud cover or frontal timing. Updated runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 13 de septiembre?
7°C o menos 54%
17°C o más 53%
14°C 39%
13°C 38%
7°C o menos
54%
8°C
11%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
22%
13°C
38%
14°C
39%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C o más
53%
7°C o menos 54%
17°C o más 53%
14°C 39%
13°C 38%
7°C o menos
54%
8°C
11%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
22%
13°C
38%
14°C
39%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C o más
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Munich's September 13 overnight low shows tight clustering around 7–12°C because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate modest variability in clear-sky radiative cooling and weak southerly advection ahead of an approaching Atlantic front. With probabilities spread across multiple bins, the market captures genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that can shift minimums by 2–4°C. Official guidance from the German Weather Service emphasizes typical early-autumn baselines near 10°C, yet model spread widens with any changes in cloud cover or frontal timing. Updated runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes