Recent numerical weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles project Munich overnight lows on September 18 near 10–12 °C under westerly flow and mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.8 °C. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential overnight due to mild advection and dew points around 8–10 °C, though small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Trader-implied odds, led by the 15 °C-or-higher bin at 40 %, reflect this baseline mildness tempered by the chance of localized radiational cooling or clearer slots that could allow readings in the 6–8 °C range; upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs will likely tighten resolution criteria ahead of the overnight observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 18 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 18 de septiembre?
15°C o más 69%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
5°C o menos
25%
6°C
29%
7°C
30%
8°C
26%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C o más
69%
15°C o más 69%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
5°C o menos
$100 Vol.
25%
6°C
$20 Vol.
29%
7°C
$10 Vol.
30%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C o más
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles project Munich overnight lows on September 18 near 10–12 °C under westerly flow and mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.8 °C. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential overnight due to mild advection and dew points around 8–10 °C, though small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Trader-implied odds, led by the 15 °C-or-higher bin at 40 %, reflect this baseline mildness tempered by the chance of localized radiational cooling or clearer slots that could allow readings in the 6–8 °C range; upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs will likely tighten resolution criteria ahead of the overnight observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$130Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles project Munich overnight lows on September 18 near 10–12 °C under westerly flow and mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.8 °C. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential overnight due to mild advection and dew points around 8–10 °C, though small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Trader-implied odds, led by the 15 °C-or-higher bin at 40 %, reflect this baseline mildness tempered by the chance of localized radiational cooling or clearer slots that could allow readings in the 6–8 °C range; upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs will likely tighten resolution criteria ahead of the overnight observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$130Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles project Munich overnight lows on September 18 near 10–12 °C under westerly flow and mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.8 °C. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential overnight due to mild advection and dew points around 8–10 °C, though small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact minimums. Trader-implied odds, led by the 15 °C-or-higher bin at 40 %, reflect this baseline mildness tempered by the chance of localized radiational cooling or clearer slots that could allow readings in the 6–8 °C range; upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs will likely tighten resolution criteria ahead of the overnight observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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