Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and DWD models indicate a high near 20°C in Munich on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, following a cold front passage that lowered temperatures from mid-20s earlier in the week. This aligns with the climatological average high of 19.4°C for the date and supports market-implied probabilities favoring 20–22°C outcomes. Low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns limit upside potential for warmer readings, while model consensus shows limited spread around these values ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 18 de septiembre?
22°C 40%
21°C 40%
20°C 39%
19°C 29%
17°C o menos
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
29%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
10%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C o más
2%
22°C 40%
21°C 40%
20°C 39%
19°C 29%
17°C o menos
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
29%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
10%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and DWD models indicate a high near 20°C in Munich on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, following a cold front passage that lowered temperatures from mid-20s earlier in the week. This aligns with the climatological average high of 19.4°C for the date and supports market-implied probabilities favoring 20–22°C outcomes. Low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns limit upside potential for warmer readings, while model consensus shows limited spread around these values ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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