Official National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the upper 60s on August 22, with models showing a warm, humid air mass and possible showers limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup supports the market's concentration on 66–71°F outcomes, as Central Park climatology averages near 67°F but recent guidance has trended slightly above normal amid weak southerly flow and elevated dew points. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of model solutions and the short time to resolution, with any late-day clearing or stronger onshore breeze capable of nudging the minimum lower within the 66–69°F bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 22 de agosto?
70-71°F 43%
66-67°F 27%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 11%
59°F o menos
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
78°F o más
1%
70-71°F 43%
66-67°F 27%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 11%
59°F o menos
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
78°F o más
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low in the upper 60s on August 22, with models showing a warm, humid air mass and possible showers limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. This setup supports the market's concentration on 66–71°F outcomes, as Central Park climatology averages near 67°F but recent guidance has trended slightly above normal amid weak southerly flow and elevated dew points. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of model solutions and the short time to resolution, with any late-day clearing or stronger onshore breeze capable of nudging the minimum lower within the 66–69°F bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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