Clear skies and light winds under high pressure have promoted strong radiative cooling overnight across the Seoul-Incheon region, with official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble model guidance converging on a daily minimum near 16°C. Multiple forecast sources, including airport TAFs and regional guidance, show nighttime lows stabilizing around this threshold amid dew points near 14–15°C and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 16°C. A realistic challenge would require sustained low-level clouds, a shift to stronger northeasterly flow, or localized urban heat-island effects elevating the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at the official Incheon station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 15 de septiembre?
16°C 99.0%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C o menos <1%
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
16°C 99.0%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C o menos <1%
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light winds under high pressure have promoted strong radiative cooling overnight across the Seoul-Incheon region, with official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble model guidance converging on a daily minimum near 16°C. Multiple forecast sources, including airport TAFs and regional guidance, show nighttime lows stabilizing around this threshold amid dew points near 14–15°C and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 16°C. A realistic challenge would require sustained low-level clouds, a shift to stronger northeasterly flow, or localized urban heat-island effects elevating the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at the official Incheon station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes