Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow moderating overnight radiative cooling in Shanghai, positioning the minimum temperature near 25–26°C for September 3. High dew points around 24°C and humidity above 80% limit further drops, consistent with early-autumn climatology where coastal influences and residual monsoon moisture suppress extremes. These conditions explain the market's tight clustering around 25°C (31.5%) and 26°C (49.5%), with lower probabilities for 24°C or 27°C reflecting model spread in timing of clearing. Updated short-range guidance ahead of local midnight observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 3 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 3 de septiembre?
26°C 50%
25°C 32%
27°C 13%
29°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
32%
26°C
50%
27°C
13%
28°C
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
25°C 32%
27°C 13%
29°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
22°C or below
$84 Vol.
1%
23°C
$297 Vol.
2%
24°C
$130 Vol.
5%
25°C
$303 Vol.
32%
26°C
$188 Vol.
50%
27°C
$322 Vol.
13%
28°C
$410 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5 Vol.
6%
30°C
$5 Vol.
5%
31°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow moderating overnight radiative cooling in Shanghai, positioning the minimum temperature near 25–26°C for September 3. High dew points around 24°C and humidity above 80% limit further drops, consistent with early-autumn climatology where coastal influences and residual monsoon moisture suppress extremes. These conditions explain the market's tight clustering around 25°C (31.5%) and 26°C (49.5%), with lower probabilities for 24°C or 27°C reflecting model spread in timing of clearing. Updated short-range guidance ahead of local midnight observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,891Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow moderating overnight radiative cooling in Shanghai, positioning the minimum temperature near 25–26°C for September 3. High dew points around 24°C and humidity above 80% limit further drops, consistent with early-autumn climatology where coastal influences and residual monsoon moisture suppress extremes. These conditions explain the market's tight clustering around 25°C (31.5%) and 26°C (49.5%), with lower probabilities for 24°C or 27°C reflecting model spread in timing of clearing. Updated short-range guidance ahead of local midnight observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,891Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow moderating overnight radiative cooling in Shanghai, positioning the minimum temperature near 25–26°C for September 3. High dew points around 24°C and humidity above 80% limit further drops, consistent with early-autumn climatology where coastal influences and residual monsoon moisture suppress extremes. These conditions explain the market's tight clustering around 25°C (31.5%) and 26°C (49.5%), with lower probabilities for 24°C or 27°C reflecting model spread in timing of clearing. Updated short-range guidance ahead of local midnight observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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