Recent forecasts from agencies and models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 3 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Northwest winds near 5–10 mph and high humidity near 80–90% further moderate temperature drops, while daytime highs around 29–31°C set the baseline for diurnal range. Model consensus shows minor variations in exact overnight lows depending on rainfall timing and cloud thickness, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values. Official updates from monitoring sources over the next 24 hours will refine these projections as the event nears resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 3 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 3 de septiembre?
21°C 47%
28°C 47%
24°C 32%
23°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
20°C or below
6%
21°C
47%
22°C
22%
23°C
28%
24°C
32%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
24%
28°C
47%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
24%
21°C 47%
28°C 47%
24°C 32%
23°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
6%
21°C
$5 Vol.
47%
22°C
$54 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
32%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$5 Vol.
47%
29°C
$5 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 3 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Northwest winds near 5–10 mph and high humidity near 80–90% further moderate temperature drops, while daytime highs around 29–31°C set the baseline for diurnal range. Model consensus shows minor variations in exact overnight lows depending on rainfall timing and cloud thickness, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values. Official updates from monitoring sources over the next 24 hours will refine these projections as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$79Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 3 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Northwest winds near 5–10 mph and high humidity near 80–90% further moderate temperature drops, while daytime highs around 29–31°C set the baseline for diurnal range. Model consensus shows minor variations in exact overnight lows depending on rainfall timing and cloud thickness, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values. Official updates from monitoring sources over the next 24 hours will refine these projections as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$79Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies and models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 3 most likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Northwest winds near 5–10 mph and high humidity near 80–90% further moderate temperature drops, while daytime highs around 29–31°C set the baseline for diurnal range. Model consensus shows minor variations in exact overnight lows depending on rainfall timing and cloud thickness, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values. Official updates from monitoring sources over the next 24 hours will refine these projections as the event nears resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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