Madison Air Solutions' April 6 S-1/A filing set IPO terms at $25–$27 per share for 82.7 million shares, implying a post-IPO market cap of roughly $12.5 billion to $13.5 billion across over 501 million shares outstanding, positioning it as 2026's largest U.S. industrial debut. Polymarket traders assign 37% implied probability to a sub-$12 billion cap, reflecting skepticism on the aggressive valuation amid volatile equity markets and execution risks, despite tailwinds from AI-driven data center cooling demand boosting revenue trends. The 23.5% odds on $13.5 billion+ signal optimism from $625 million in early cornerstone commitments by Durable Capital, Morgan Stanley Counterpoint, and parent Madison Industries. Roadshow feedback will be pivotal ahead of April 15 pricing and NYSE listing under MAIR.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado13.5B+ 24%
<12.0B 22%
12.5B–13.0B 22%
No IPO before June 2026 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
<12.0B
26%
12.0B–12.5B
6%
12.5B–13.0B
12%
13.0B–13.5B
7%
13.5B+
24%
No IPO before June 2026
11%
13.5B+ 24%
<12.0B 22%
12.5B–13.0B 22%
No IPO before June 2026 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
<12.0B
$70 Vol.
26%
12.0B–12.5B
$59 Vol.
6%
12.5B–13.0B
$59 Vol.
12%
13.0B–13.5B
$84 Vol.
7%
13.5B+
$152 Vol.
24%
No IPO before June 2026
$59 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Madison Air Solutions' April 6 S-1/A filing set IPO terms at $25–$27 per share for 82.7 million shares, implying a post-IPO market cap of roughly $12.5 billion to $13.5 billion across over 501 million shares outstanding, positioning it as 2026's largest U.S. industrial debut. Polymarket traders assign 37% implied probability to a sub-$12 billion cap, reflecting skepticism on the aggressive valuation amid volatile equity markets and execution risks, despite tailwinds from AI-driven data center cooling demand boosting revenue trends. The 23.5% odds on $13.5 billion+ signal optimism from $625 million in early cornerstone commitments by Durable Capital, Morgan Stanley Counterpoint, and parent Madison Industries. Roadshow feedback will be pivotal ahead of April 15 pricing and NYSE listing under MAIR.
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Volumen
$483Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Madison Air Solutions' April 6 S-1/A filing set IPO terms at $25–$27 per share for 82.7 million shares, implying a post-IPO market cap of roughly $12.5 billion to $13.5 billion across over 501 million shares outstanding, positioning it as 2026's largest U.S. industrial debut. Polymarket traders assign 37% implied probability to a sub-$12 billion cap, reflecting skepticism on the aggressive valuation amid volatile equity markets and execution risks, despite tailwinds from AI-driven data center cooling demand boosting revenue trends. The 23.5% odds on $13.5 billion+ signal optimism from $625 million in early cornerstone commitments by Durable Capital, Morgan Stanley Counterpoint, and parent Madison Industries. Roadshow feedback will be pivotal ahead of April 15 pricing and NYSE listing under MAIR.
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volumen
$483Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Madison Air Solutions' April 6 S-1/A filing set IPO terms at $25–$27 per share for 82.7 million shares, implying a post-IPO market cap of roughly $12.5 billion to $13.5 billion across over 501 million shares outstanding, positioning it as 2026's largest U.S. industrial debut. Polymarket traders assign 37% implied probability to a sub-$12 billion cap, reflecting skepticism on the aggressive valuation amid volatile equity markets and execution risks, despite tailwinds from AI-driven data center cooling demand boosting revenue trends. The 23.5% odds on $13.5 billion+ signal optimism from $625 million in early cornerstone commitments by Durable Capital, Morgan Stanley Counterpoint, and parent Madison Industries. Roadshow feedback will be pivotal ahead of April 15 pricing and NYSE listing under MAIR.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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