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icon for Nunca pasa nada: marzo
Mundo·Parlays

Nunca pasa nada: marzo

icon for Nunca pasa nada: marzo
Mundo·Parlays

Nunca pasa nada: marzo

mar 31

abr 30

dic 31

mar 31

abr 30

dic 31

Nada

59% probabilidad
Polymarket

$336,344 Vol.

Nada

59% probabilidad
Polymarket

$336,344 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market prices "Nothing" at 58.5%, reflecting the absence of any specified triggering events through March 31, 2026, amid strict resolution criteria that include Iranian regime collapse, Federal Reserve rate cut, President Trump declaring an election interference national emergency, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act enactment, or both James Talarico and John Cornyn securing Texas Senate general election nominations. The Fed's March 18 FOMC meeting maintained the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% due to sticky inflation, Iran's leadership endured U.S.-Israel airstrikes on Natanz amid Hezbollah clashes, no executive actions followed nationwide "No Kings" protests on March 28, the SAVE Act languished in Senate debate, and Texas primaries advanced Talarico as Democratic nominee while sending Cornyn to a GOP runoff against Ken Paxton. Residual uncertainty from UMA oracle review and primary finality sustains a competitive 41.5% implied odds for "Something."

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volumen
$336,344
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: March" market prices "Nothing" at 58.5%, reflecting the absence of any specified triggering events through March 31, 2026, amid strict resolution criteria that include Iranian regime collapse, Federal Reserve rate cut, President Trump declaring an election interference national emergency, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act enactment, or both James Talarico and John Cornyn securing Texas Senate general election nominations. The Fed's March 18 FOMC meeting maintained the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% due to sticky inflation, Iran's leadership endured U.S.-Israel airstrikes on Natanz amid Hezbollah clashes, no executive actions followed nationwide "No Kings" protests on March 28, the SAVE Act languished in Senate debate, and Texas primaries advanced Talarico as Democratic nominee while sending Cornyn to a GOP runoff against Ken Paxton. Residual uncertainty from UMA oracle review and primary finality sustains a competitive 41.5% implied odds for "Something."

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volumen
$336,344
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Nunca pasa nada: marzo" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nada sucede jamás: Marzo" con 59%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Nunca pasa nada: marzo" ha generado $336.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Nunca pasa nada: marzo", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Nunca pasa nada: marzo" es "Nada sucede jamás: Marzo" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Nunca pasa nada: marzo" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.