The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEduardo Amorim 43%
Paulinho da União Tur 42%
Delegado Alessandro 42%
André Moura 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Eduardo Amorim
43%
Paulinho da União Tur
42%
Delegado Alessandro
42%
André Moura
40%
Delegado André David
27%
Iran Barbosa
26%
Rogerio Carvalho
25%
Renatinha
24%
Edvaldo
24%
Rodrigo Valadares
24%
Coronel Rocha
21%
Eduardo Amorim 43%
Paulinho da União Tur 42%
Delegado Alessandro 42%
André Moura 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Eduardo Amorim
$0 Vol.
43%
Paulinho da União Tur
$0 Vol.
42%
Delegado Alessandro
$0 Vol.
42%
André Moura
$0 Vol.
40%
Delegado André David
$0 Vol.
27%
Iran Barbosa
$0 Vol.
26%
Rogerio Carvalho
$0 Vol.
25%
Renatinha
$0 Vol.
24%
Edvaldo
$0 Vol.
24%
Rodrigo Valadares
$0 Vol.
24%
Coronel Rocha
$0 Vol.
21%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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