Morena maintains a structural edge in Sonora's 2027 gubernatorial race through consistent party identification leads of 40-50% in mid-2026 surveys, yet trader prices remain tightly clustered because the party's internal selection between Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano stays unresolved and head-to-head matchups show competitive results against Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of Movimiento Ciudadano and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez of the PAN. Recent positioning, including Valles and Lamarque urging unity ahead of the internal process and ongoing alliance talks among opposition parties, has kept implied probabilities balanced without decisive separation. Upcoming candidate formalization and any shifts in polling averages or coalition announcements within the next several months could widen gaps among the leading contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLorenia Valles Sampedro 28%
Javier Lamarque Cano 20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 19.9%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 8.7%
$38,157 Vol.
$38,157 Vol.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
28%
Javier Lamarque Cano
20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
9%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
3%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
<1%
Lorenia Valles Sampedro 28%
Javier Lamarque Cano 20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 19.9%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 8.7%
$38,157 Vol.
$38,157 Vol.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
28%
Javier Lamarque Cano
20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
9%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
3%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a structural edge in Sonora's 2027 gubernatorial race through consistent party identification leads of 40-50% in mid-2026 surveys, yet trader prices remain tightly clustered because the party's internal selection between Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano stays unresolved and head-to-head matchups show competitive results against Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas of Movimiento Ciudadano and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez of the PAN. Recent positioning, including Valles and Lamarque urging unity ahead of the internal process and ongoing alliance talks among opposition parties, has kept implied probabilities balanced without decisive separation. Upcoming candidate formalization and any shifts in polling averages or coalition announcements within the next several months could widen gaps among the leading contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes