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icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

$602,378 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$602,378 Vol.

Polymarket
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Estados Unidos

$9,278 Vol.

6%

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Italia

$14,899 Vol.

22%

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Países Bajos

$35,538 Vol.

6%

icon for Japón

Japón

$39,752 Vol.

22%

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Alemania

$65,734 Vol.

12%

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Bélgica

$66,398 Vol.

21%

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Finlandia

$37,362 Vol.

16%

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Austria

$171,786 Vol.

10%

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Grecia

$44,890 Vol.

11%

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Nueva Zelanda

$116,740 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following a surge in recognitions during the 80th UN General Assembly in September 2025, 157 of 193 UN member states now acknowledge Palestine as a sovereign state, including recent moves by France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, and others amid diplomatic efforts to revive two-state solution talks. This wave reflected heightened international pressure on Israel over Gaza operations and stalled normalization deals like Saudi Arabia's. No major developments have emerged in the past seven months, leaving holdouts such as the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands—where recognition is conditioned on negotiated peace—unchanged. Key traders monitor the 81st UNGA in September 2026, U.S. midterm elections, and European coalition shifts for potential catalysts before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$602,378
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following a surge in recognitions during the 80th UN General Assembly in September 2025, 157 of 193 UN member states now acknowledge Palestine as a sovereign state, including recent moves by France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, and others amid diplomatic efforts to revive two-state solution talks. This wave reflected heightened international pressure on Israel over Gaza operations and stalled normalization deals like Saudi Arabia's. No major developments have emerged in the past seven months, leaving holdouts such as the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands—where recognition is conditioned on negotiated peace—unchanged. Key traders monitor the 81st UNGA in September 2026, U.S. midterm elections, and European coalition shifts for potential catalysts before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$602,378
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Japón" con 23%, seguido de "Italia" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 23¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" ha generado $602.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" es "Japón" con 23%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Italia" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.