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icon for ¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?

icon for ¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?

$2,149,469 Vol.

30 dic 2025
Polymarket

$2,149,469 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de diciembre de 2026

$687,715 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing U.S.-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria, resumed in January 2026 and continuing through meetings in Paris and Jordan, center on reviving the 1974 disengagement agreement, establishing deconfliction mechanisms, and addressing Israeli forces in a southern Syrian buffer zone established after Bashar al-Assad’s December 2024 fall. Recent developments include an August 2026 Israeli airstrike on a Syrian airbase and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s September 2026 visit to troops on Mount Hermon, which Damascus condemned as a sovereignty violation. Syrian officials, including Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani, signal openness to diplomatic solutions and non-aggression arrangements while insisting on Israeli withdrawal and territorial integrity; Israel emphasizes security red lines against Iranian influence. Core obstacles include the Golan Heights status and differing priorities on normalization versus limited security pacts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,149,469
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing U.S.-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria, resumed in January 2026 and continuing through meetings in Paris and Jordan, center on reviving the 1974 disengagement agreement, establishing deconfliction mechanisms, and addressing Israeli forces in a southern Syrian buffer zone established after Bashar al-Assad’s December 2024 fall. Recent developments include an August 2026 Israeli airstrike on a Syrian airbase and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s September 2026 visit to troops on Mount Hermon, which Damascus condemned as a sovereignty violation. Syrian officials, including Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani, signal openness to diplomatic solutions and non-aggression arrangements while insisting on Israeli withdrawal and territorial integrity; Israel emphasizes security red lines against Iranian influence. Core obstacles include the Golan Heights status and differing priorities on normalization versus limited security pacts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,149,469
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 8%, seguido de "31 de diciembre de 2025" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 8¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 8% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" ha generado $2.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con solo 8%, con "31 de diciembre de 2025" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.