Following the marathon but inconclusive first round of direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, hosted by Pakistan, diplomats are urgently arranging a second round amid a fragile ceasefire and US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. US Vice President JD Vance led alongside envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, while Iran sent Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; key sticking points included nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Hormuz navigation rights. President Trump indicated a follow-up could occur within days, with Pakistan again offering to mediate, though attendance remains fluid pending official confirmations and escalation risks. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the same principals reconvene or higher levels engage before the ceasefire expires.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
$15,709 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Donald Trump
10%
Marco Rubio
10%
J.D. Vance
81%
Jared Kushner
78%
Steve Witkoff
87%
$15,709 Vol.
Donald Trump
$8,837 Vol.
10%
Marco Rubio
$795 Vol.
10%
J.D. Vance
$4,452 Vol.
81%
Jared Kushner
$1,205 Vol.
78%
Steve Witkoff
$420 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following the marathon but inconclusive first round of direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, hosted by Pakistan, diplomats are urgently arranging a second round amid a fragile ceasefire and US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. US Vice President JD Vance led alongside envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, while Iran sent Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; key sticking points included nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Hormuz navigation rights. President Trump indicated a follow-up could occur within days, with Pakistan again offering to mediate, though attendance remains fluid pending official confirmations and escalation risks. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the same principals reconvene or higher levels engage before the ceasefire expires.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volumen
$15,709Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following the marathon but inconclusive first round of direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, hosted by Pakistan, diplomats are urgently arranging a second round amid a fragile ceasefire and US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. US Vice President JD Vance led alongside envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, while Iran sent Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; key sticking points included nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Hormuz navigation rights. President Trump indicated a follow-up could occur within days, with Pakistan again offering to mediate, though attendance remains fluid pending official confirmations and escalation risks. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the same principals reconvene or higher levels engage before the ceasefire expires.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$15,709Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the marathon but inconclusive first round of direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, hosted by Pakistan, diplomats are urgently arranging a second round amid a fragile ceasefire and US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. US Vice President JD Vance led alongside envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, while Iran sent Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; key sticking points included nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Hormuz navigation rights. President Trump indicated a follow-up could occur within days, with Pakistan again offering to mediate, though attendance remains fluid pending official confirmations and escalation risks. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the same principals reconvene or higher levels engage before the ceasefire expires.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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