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Política·Trump

¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?

mar 31

mar 31

$1,980,973 Vol.

30 abr 2026
Polymarket

$1,980,973 Vol.

Polymarket
¿Será atacada la terminal petrolera de la isla de Kharg antes del 30 de abril? icon

30 de abril

$435,448 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US airstrikes have repeatedly targeted military installations on Iran's Kharg Island—most recently on April 7, 2026, hitting over 50 bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots—yet deliberately spared the oil terminal, which handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. This strategic restraint amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz blockades and failed nuclear/proxy talks, underpins trader consensus on limited near-term risk of a kinetic strike on energy infrastructure. President Trump has warned of potential escalation to oil facilities or island seizure if Tehran refuses concessions, with satellite imagery confirming intact storage tanks and operational tankers. Stalled diplomacy and regional proxy actions heighten uncertainty ahead of any resolution deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,980,973
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US airstrikes have repeatedly targeted military installations on Iran's Kharg Island—most recently on April 7, 2026, hitting over 50 bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots—yet deliberately spared the oil terminal, which handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. This strategic restraint amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz blockades and failed nuclear/proxy talks, underpins trader consensus on limited near-term risk of a kinetic strike on energy infrastructure. President Trump has warned of potential escalation to oil facilities or island seizure if Tehran refuses concessions, with satellite imagery confirming intact storage tanks and operational tankers. Stalled diplomacy and regional proxy actions heighten uncertainty ahead of any resolution deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,980,973
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de abril" con 7%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 7¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 7% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" ha generado $2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" es "30 de abril" con solo 7%, con "31 de marzo" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La terminal petrolera de la isla Kharg será golpeada por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.