Polymarket traders are pricing a [X]% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) to close above the specified threshold on March 24, primarily driven by the stock's recent 8% weekly gain amid strong AWS cloud revenue growth reported in Q4 filings and optimism around AI infrastructure spending. AMZN traded at $186.50 on March 21 close, needing a [Y]% intraday move to surpass the level, with technical support at the 50-day SMA of $182. Key risks include Friday's PCE inflation data release, which could sway Fed rate cut expectations and tech valuations, while post-market analyst upgrades from Goldman Sachs add bullish momentum. Upcoming Q1 earnings on April 30 loom large, but near-term resolution hinges on broader Nasdaq dynamics and consumer spending trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$195
88%
$200
98%
$205
92%
$210
63%
$215
17%
$24 Vol.
$195
88%
$200
98%
$205
92%
$210
63%
$215
17%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a [X]% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) to close above the specified threshold on March 24, primarily driven by the stock's recent 8% weekly gain amid strong AWS cloud revenue growth reported in Q4 filings and optimism around AI infrastructure spending. AMZN traded at $186.50 on March 21 close, needing a [Y]% intraday move to surpass the level, with technical support at the 50-day SMA of $182. Key risks include Friday's PCE inflation data release, which could sway Fed rate cut expectations and tech valuations, while post-market analyst upgrades from Goldman Sachs add bullish momentum. Upcoming Q1 earnings on April 30 loom large, but near-term resolution hinges on broader Nasdaq dynamics and consumer spending trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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