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icon for Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
Tech·AI

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

icon for Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
Tech·AI

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

NEW
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$7,576 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$4,012 Vol.

94%

December 31

$3,564 Vol.

99%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.Recent progress on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Open Problems remains limited, with only one moderately interesting research-level problem solved by an AI since the benchmark's early 2026 launch and no verified solutions reported since March. Trader consensus favoring later 2026 resolution dates reflects the persistent gap between current large language model capabilities on unpublished, expert-crafted problems and the reasoning depth required for genuine mathematical advances. Labs including OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google continue iterative releases focused on long-horizon reasoning and self-verification, yet these have produced incremental gains mainly on the easier Tier 1-4 sets rather than the hardest open problems. Key upcoming catalysts include next-generation model launches expected through year-end and any major benchmark updates from Epoch AI that could accelerate or delay the next confirmed solve.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify.

This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Volume
$7,576
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.Recent progress on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Open Problems remains limited, with only one moderately interesting research-level problem solved by an AI since the benchmark's early 2026 launch and no verified solutions reported since March. Trader consensus favoring later 2026 resolution dates reflects the persistent gap between current large language model capabilities on unpublished, expert-crafted problems and the reasoning depth required for genuine mathematical advances. Labs including OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google continue iterative releases focused on long-horizon reasoning and self-verification, yet these have produced incremental gains mainly on the easier Tier 1-4 sets rather than the hardest open problems. Key upcoming catalysts include next-generation model launches expected through year-end and any major benchmark updates from Epoch AI that could accelerate or delay the next confirmed solve.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify.

This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Volume
$7,576
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 99%, followed by "September 30" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?" is "December 31" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 94%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.