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icon for Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner
Elections·Taiwan

Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner
Elections·Taiwan

Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

Chen Su-yueh 84%

Wei Ping-cheng 9%

Chiu Chien-fu 2.1%

Huang Hsiu-fang <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Chen Su-yueh 84%

Wei Ping-cheng 9%

Chiu Chien-fu 2.1%

Huang Hsiu-fang <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Chen Su-yueh

Chen Su-yueh

$4,412 Vol.

84%

icon for Wei Ping-cheng

Wei Ping-cheng

$1,425 Vol.

9%

icon for Chiu Chien-fu

Chiu Chien-fu

$1,086 Vol.

2%

icon for Huang Hsiu-fang

Huang Hsiu-fang

$773 Vol.

1%

icon for Lin Shih-hsien

Lin Shih-hsien

$1,446 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hung Jung-chang

Hung Jung-chang

$841 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and sitting legislator, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Changhua County magistrate race, reflecting her established local support base and access to central government resources ahead of the November 2026 vote. The Kuomintang's selection of lawyer Wei Ping-cheng over more experienced contenders has triggered persistent internal divisions, including the incumbent magistrate's public distance from the campaign and limited party consolidation. Independent bids, notably from former DPP Changhua City mayor Chiu Chien-fu after losing the party primary, have further fragmented opposition votes. Recent candidate registrations and ongoing KMT integration challenges have reinforced the current pricing, with polls consistently showing Chen ahead by double digits in this bellwether county.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$9,982
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and sitting legislator, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Changhua County magistrate race, reflecting her established local support base and access to central government resources ahead of the November 2026 vote. The Kuomintang's selection of lawyer Wei Ping-cheng over more experienced contenders has triggered persistent internal divisions, including the incumbent magistrate's public distance from the campaign and limited party consolidation. Independent bids, notably from former DPP Changhua City mayor Chiu Chien-fu after losing the party primary, have further fragmented opposition votes. Recent candidate registrations and ongoing KMT integration challenges have reinforced the current pricing, with polls consistently showing Chen ahead by double digits in this bellwether county.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$9,982
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chen Su-yueh" at 84%, followed by "Wei Ping-cheng" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Chen Su-yueh" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wei Ping-cheng" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.