Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent high-volume Truth Social activity, with recent weeks often logging 80-140 posts amid campaign and post-election fervor, driving top odds for 100-119 (28%) and 80-99 (25%). Historical patterns show daily bursts of 20-50 posts during news cycles, but variability from quieter periods keeps the race tight, as 2026's March 27-April 3 falls post-inauguration if he assumes office, potentially curbing frequency via presidential duties. No scheduled events yet for that week heighten uncertainty; spikes could arise from policy rollouts, legal updates, or international tensions, while routine governance might favor mid-range tallies and widen separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated100-119 28%
80-99 25%
140-159 17%
120-139 16%
$27,264 Vol.
$27,264 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
2%
40-59
4%
60-79
11%
80-99
25%
100-119
28%
120-139
16%
140-159
17%
160-179
5%
180-199
4%
200+
2%
100-119 28%
80-99 25%
140-159 17%
120-139 16%
$27,264 Vol.
$27,264 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
2%
40-59
4%
60-79
11%
80-99
25%
100-119
28%
120-139
16%
140-159
17%
160-179
5%
180-199
4%
200+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent high-volume Truth Social activity, with recent weeks often logging 80-140 posts amid campaign and post-election fervor, driving top odds for 100-119 (28%) and 80-99 (25%). Historical patterns show daily bursts of 20-50 posts during news cycles, but variability from quieter periods keeps the race tight, as 2026's March 27-April 3 falls post-inauguration if he assumes office, potentially curbing frequency via presidential duties. No scheduled events yet for that week heighten uncertainty; spikes could arise from policy rollouts, legal updates, or international tensions, while routine governance might favor mid-range tallies and widen separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions