Recent U.S. economic data, including resilient payroll growth and unemployment near 4.3-4.4 percent alongside core inflation readings around 2.6 percent, have supported trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold the federal funds rate steady at its September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Futures pricing on the CME FedWatch tool and related markets reflect this consensus, with limited odds assigned to 25-basis-point moves in either direction. Elevated price pressures from prior policy shifts and a stable labor market have reduced the perceived need for adjustment ahead of the meeting, while scheduled releases on employment and CPI in the coming months remain key variables that could alter positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNo change 74%
25 bps increase 13%
25 bps decrease 11.3%
50+ bps decrease 2.6%
$316,577 Wol.
$316,577 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
11%
No change
74%
25 bps increase
13%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 74%
25 bps increase 13%
25 bps decrease 11.3%
50+ bps decrease 2.6%
$316,577 Wol.
$316,577 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$54,709 Wol.
3%
25 bps decrease
$64,108 Wol.
11%
No change
$86,918 Wol.
74%
25 bps increase
$60,422 Wol.
13%
50+ bps increase
$50,455 Wol.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. economic data, including resilient payroll growth and unemployment near 4.3-4.4 percent alongside core inflation readings around 2.6 percent, have supported trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold the federal funds rate steady at its September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Futures pricing on the CME FedWatch tool and related markets reflect this consensus, with limited odds assigned to 25-basis-point moves in either direction. Elevated price pressures from prior policy shifts and a stable labor market have reduced the perceived need for adjustment ahead of the meeting, while scheduled releases on employment and CPI in the coming months remain key variables that could alter positioning.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$316,577Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. economic data, including resilient payroll growth and unemployment near 4.3-4.4 percent alongside core inflation readings around 2.6 percent, have supported trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold the federal funds rate steady at its September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Futures pricing on the CME FedWatch tool and related markets reflect this consensus, with limited odds assigned to 25-basis-point moves in either direction. Elevated price pressures from prior policy shifts and a stable labor market have reduced the perceived need for adjustment ahead of the meeting, while scheduled releases on employment and CPI in the coming months remain key variables that could alter positioning.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Wolumen
$316,577Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. economic data, including resilient payroll growth and unemployment near 4.3-4.4 percent alongside core inflation readings around 2.6 percent, have supported trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold the federal funds rate steady at its September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Futures pricing on the CME FedWatch tool and related markets reflect this consensus, with limited odds assigned to 25-basis-point moves in either direction. Elevated price pressures from prior policy shifts and a stable labor market have reduced the perceived need for adjustment ahead of the meeting, while scheduled releases on employment and CPI in the coming months remain key variables that could alter positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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