H200 GPU rental rates, which had traded in a fragmented $2.50–$7.00 per GPU-hour band through much of May 2026 with medians near $3.50–$4.00 across providers, experienced a sharp 30–38% decline in the second half of the month. This move reflected accelerating Blackwell B200 supply displacing Hopper-era capacity and easing prior shortages, even as sustained enterprise demand for memory-intensive workloads and prior U.S. export approvals to China had supported firmer pricing earlier. Hyperscaler price cuts of up to 45% on comparable instances added further downward pressure, while spot versus reserved contract differentials continued to widen market variance ahead of the May 31 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$45,879 Vol.
May 31, 2026
↑ $6.00
Yes
↑ $5.50
Yes
↑ $5.00
Yes
↑ $4.75
Yes
↑ $4.50
Yes
↑ $4.25
Yes
↑ $4.00
Yes
↑ $3.90
Yes
↓ $3.70
Yes
↓ $3.60
Yes
↓ $3.50
Yes
↓ $3.25
Yes
↓ $4.25
Yes
↓ $4.00
Yes
↓ $3.50
No
↓ $3.00
No
↓ $2.50
No
↓ $2.00
No
$45,879 Vol.
↑ $6.00
$4,229 Vol.
Yes
↑ $5.50
$4,186 Vol.
Yes
↑ $5.00
$2,972 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4.75
$478 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4.50
$2,168 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4.25
$3,669 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4.00
$216 Vol.
Yes
↑ $3.90
$5,045 Vol.
Yes
↓ $3.70
$287 Vol.
Yes
↓ $3.60
$306 Vol.
Yes
↓ $3.50
$1,362 Vol.
Yes
↓ $3.25
$1,722 Vol.
Yes
↓ $4.25
$168 Vol.
Yes
↓ $4.00
$871 Vol.
Yes
↓ $3.50
$777 Vol.
No
↓ $3.00
$9,253 Vol.
No
↓ $2.50
$4,005 Vol.
No
↓ $2.00
$4,166 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.H200 GPU rental rates, which had traded in a fragmented $2.50–$7.00 per GPU-hour band through much of May 2026 with medians near $3.50–$4.00 across providers, experienced a sharp 30–38% decline in the second half of the month. This move reflected accelerating Blackwell B200 supply displacing Hopper-era capacity and easing prior shortages, even as sustained enterprise demand for memory-intensive workloads and prior U.S. export approvals to China had supported firmer pricing earlier. Hyperscaler price cuts of up to 45% on comparable instances added further downward pressure, while spot versus reserved contract differentials continued to widen market variance ahead of the May 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$45,879End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.H200 GPU rental rates, which had traded in a fragmented $2.50–$7.00 per GPU-hour band through much of May 2026 with medians near $3.50–$4.00 across providers, experienced a sharp 30–38% decline in the second half of the month. This move reflected accelerating Blackwell B200 supply displacing Hopper-era capacity and easing prior shortages, even as sustained enterprise demand for memory-intensive workloads and prior U.S. export approvals to China had supported firmer pricing earlier. Hyperscaler price cuts of up to 45% on comparable instances added further downward pressure, while spot versus reserved contract differentials continued to widen market variance ahead of the May 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$45,879End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
H200 GPU rental rates, which had traded in a fragmented $2.50–$7.00 per GPU-hour band through much of May 2026 with medians near $3.50–$4.00 across providers, experienced a sharp 30–38% decline in the second half of the month. This move reflected accelerating Blackwell B200 supply displacing Hopper-era capacity and easing prior shortages, even as sustained enterprise demand for memory-intensive workloads and prior U.S. export approvals to China had supported firmer pricing earlier. Hyperscaler price cuts of up to 45% on comparable instances added further downward pressure, while spot versus reserved contract differentials continued to widen market variance ahead of the May 31 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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