Recent meteorological data and seasonal climate patterns indicate mild spring conditions across the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's daytime highs typically ranging from 18–21°C in mid-May according to long-term records from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute. Official forecast models showed no significant cold-air advection or unusual cooling mechanisms that could drop temperatures below the 17°C threshold, aligning with historical averages for the period and supporting the overwhelming market consensus. Key resolution criteria focus on the official daily maximum recorded at the Amsterdam weather station, with any deviation requiring an atypical late-season front or measurement anomaly that remains unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19?
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,041 Vol.
$1,041 Vol.
May 19, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
Yes
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,041 Vol.
$1,041 Vol.
May 19, 2026
7°C or below
$175 Vol.
No
8°C
$225 Vol.
No
9°C
$193 Vol.
No
10°C
$15 Vol.
No
11°C
$15 Vol.
No
12°C
$15 Vol.
No
13°C
$15 Vol.
No
14°C
$44 Vol.
No
15°C
$37 Vol.
No
16°C
$47 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$260 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and seasonal climate patterns indicate mild spring conditions across the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's daytime highs typically ranging from 18–21°C in mid-May according to long-term records from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute. Official forecast models showed no significant cold-air advection or unusual cooling mechanisms that could drop temperatures below the 17°C threshold, aligning with historical averages for the period and supporting the overwhelming market consensus. Key resolution criteria focus on the official daily maximum recorded at the Amsterdam weather station, with any deviation requiring an atypical late-season front or measurement anomaly that remains unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,041End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and seasonal climate patterns indicate mild spring conditions across the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's daytime highs typically ranging from 18–21°C in mid-May according to long-term records from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute. Official forecast models showed no significant cold-air advection or unusual cooling mechanisms that could drop temperatures below the 17°C threshold, aligning with historical averages for the period and supporting the overwhelming market consensus. Key resolution criteria focus on the official daily maximum recorded at the Amsterdam weather station, with any deviation requiring an atypical late-season front or measurement anomaly that remains unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,041End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological data and seasonal climate patterns indicate mild spring conditions across the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's daytime highs typically ranging from 18–21°C in mid-May according to long-term records from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute. Official forecast models showed no significant cold-air advection or unusual cooling mechanisms that could drop temperatures below the 17°C threshold, aligning with historical averages for the period and supporting the overwhelming market consensus. Key resolution criteria focus on the official daily maximum recorded at the Amsterdam weather station, with any deviation requiring an atypical late-season front or measurement anomaly that remains unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions