Recent National Weather Service forecasts and private model consensus for Austin point to a daily maximum temperature near 94–97°F on June 25, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies after early clouds. This pattern supports surface heating near seasonal norms, with heat indices potentially reaching 101–103°F, though variable afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could cap the peak. Traders have clustered bets around 94–97°F ranges because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day spread and limited potential for either significant cooling or rapid intensification beyond 98°F. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the peak heating window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on June 25?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 25?
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$27,537 Vol.
$27,537 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$27,537 Vol.
$27,537 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
87°F or below
$937 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,313 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$3,814 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$5,642 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$3,229 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$2,338 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,658 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$767 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$870 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$4,342 Vol.
No
106°F or higher
$2,626 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and private model consensus for Austin point to a daily maximum temperature near 94–97°F on June 25, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies after early clouds. This pattern supports surface heating near seasonal norms, with heat indices potentially reaching 101–103°F, though variable afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could cap the peak. Traders have clustered bets around 94–97°F ranges because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day spread and limited potential for either significant cooling or rapid intensification beyond 98°F. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the peak heating window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$27,537End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and private model consensus for Austin point to a daily maximum temperature near 94–97°F on June 25, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies after early clouds. This pattern supports surface heating near seasonal norms, with heat indices potentially reaching 101–103°F, though variable afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could cap the peak. Traders have clustered bets around 94–97°F ranges because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day spread and limited potential for either significant cooling or rapid intensification beyond 98°F. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the peak heating window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,537End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and private model consensus for Austin point to a daily maximum temperature near 94–97°F on June 25, driven by a strengthening upper-level ridge, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies after early clouds. This pattern supports surface heating near seasonal norms, with heat indices potentially reaching 101–103°F, though variable afternoon cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could cap the peak. Traders have clustered bets around 94–97°F ranges because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day spread and limited potential for either significant cooling or rapid intensification beyond 98°F. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the peak heating window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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