Traders see nearly even odds between 17°C and 18°C as Buenos Aires’ highest temperature on August 3, reflecting tight ensemble spread in short-range model guidance. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to allow modest warm advection from the north while a weak frontal boundary approaches from the southwest, creating small differences in peak afternoon readings depending on exact timing of cloud cover and wind shifts. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional analyses and regional numerical weather prediction runs show maximums hovering near the seasonal average of 16–17°C, with only modest day-to-day variability observed in recent observations. Resolution will hinge on verified station data, and any late-model consensus shift could quickly rebalance the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 3?
17°C 37%
18°C 34%
16°C 18%
19°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
18%
17°C
37%
18°C
34%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 37%
18°C 34%
16°C 18%
19°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
18%
17°C
37%
18°C
34%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly even odds between 17°C and 18°C as Buenos Aires’ highest temperature on August 3, reflecting tight ensemble spread in short-range model guidance. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to allow modest warm advection from the north while a weak frontal boundary approaches from the southwest, creating small differences in peak afternoon readings depending on exact timing of cloud cover and wind shifts. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional analyses and regional numerical weather prediction runs show maximums hovering near the seasonal average of 16–17°C, with only modest day-to-day variability observed in recent observations. Resolution will hinge on verified station data, and any late-model consensus shift could quickly rebalance the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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