**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's highest temperature on August 3 centers on forecast model consensus pointing to a peak near 29°C.** Recent runs from major global models show a ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds, supporting highs in the 28–30°C range and limiting stronger warming. Historical August averages for Warsaw hover around 23–26°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat advection from the south. Key variables include the exact timing of any cloud build-up or showers (which could cap temperatures at 28°C) versus clearer skies that might allow a brief push to 30–31°C; model spread on boundary-layer mixing and surface winds adds to the dispersed probabilities. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 3?
29°C 34%
30°C 21%
28°C 20%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
34%
30°C
21%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 21%
28°C 20%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
25°C or below
$16 Vol.
1%
26°C
$20 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$34 Vol.
20%
29°C
$7 Vol.
34%
30°C
$9 Vol.
21%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$20 Vol.
3%
34°C
$20 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's highest temperature on August 3 centers on forecast model consensus pointing to a peak near 29°C.** Recent runs from major global models show a ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds, supporting highs in the 28–30°C range and limiting stronger warming. Historical August averages for Warsaw hover around 23–26°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat advection from the south. Key variables include the exact timing of any cloud build-up or showers (which could cap temperatures at 28°C) versus clearer skies that might allow a brief push to 30–31°C; model spread on boundary-layer mixing and surface winds adds to the dispersed probabilities. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$140End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's highest temperature on August 3 centers on forecast model consensus pointing to a peak near 29°C.** Recent runs from major global models show a ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds, supporting highs in the 28–30°C range and limiting stronger warming. Historical August averages for Warsaw hover around 23–26°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat advection from the south. Key variables include the exact timing of any cloud build-up or showers (which could cap temperatures at 28°C) versus clearer skies that might allow a brief push to 30–31°C; model spread on boundary-layer mixing and surface winds adds to the dispersed probabilities. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$140End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's highest temperature on August 3 centers on forecast model consensus pointing to a peak near 29°C.** Recent runs from major global models show a ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds, supporting highs in the 28–30°C range and limiting stronger warming. Historical August averages for Warsaw hover around 23–26°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat advection from the south. Key variables include the exact timing of any cloud build-up or showers (which could cap temperatures at 28°C) versus clearer skies that might allow a brief push to 30–31°C; model spread on boundary-layer mixing and surface winds adds to the dispersed probabilities. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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