Trader sentiment on Buenos Aires' March 25 high temperature hinges on the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, which cluster forecasts around 25-27°C amid a weak subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and warm air advection from the north. Leading odds favor 26°C (25.5%) and 27°C (23.5%) due to recent runs showing peak heating near 26.5°C under partly sunny skies, edging out cooler 24-25°C scenarios (43.5% combined) tied to potential late-day sea breeze moderation or lingering stratocumulus clouds. Historical late-March averages hover at 24°C, but lingering El Niño warmth adds 1-2°C upside risk; SMN updates tomorrow could shift the tight race as model convergence improves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 25?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 25?
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
25°C 22%
24°C 21%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
17%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
2%
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
25°C 22%
24°C 21%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
17%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Buenos Aires' March 25 high temperature hinges on the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, which cluster forecasts around 25-27°C amid a weak subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and warm air advection from the north. Leading odds favor 26°C (25.5%) and 27°C (23.5%) due to recent runs showing peak heating near 26.5°C under partly sunny skies, edging out cooler 24-25°C scenarios (43.5% combined) tied to potential late-day sea breeze moderation or lingering stratocumulus clouds. Historical late-March averages hover at 24°C, but lingering El Niño warmth adds 1-2°C upside risk; SMN updates tomorrow could shift the tight race as model convergence improves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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