Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a Seoul high of around 13°C on March 22, driving trader consensus toward 12-14°C outcomes with 14°C or higher at 31.5%, 12°C at 25.5%, and 13°C at 22.5%. Ensemble model guidance diverges due to a passing weak frontal system: ECMWF runs skew warmer (14-15°C) amid mild southerly flow, while GFS implies cooler peaks near 12°C from increased cloud cover and light northerly winds. Historical March averages hover at 11°C, but recent mild anomalies elevate above-normal odds; final differentiation hinges on morning clears and diurnal heating, per hourly updates expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
14°C or higher 33%
12°C 26%
13°C 23%
11°C 14%
$75,511 Vol.
$75,511 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
14%
12°C
26%
13°C
23%
14°C or higher
33%
14°C or higher 33%
12°C 26%
13°C 23%
11°C 14%
$75,511 Vol.
$75,511 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
14%
12°C
26%
13°C
23%
14°C or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a Seoul high of around 13°C on March 22, driving trader consensus toward 12-14°C outcomes with 14°C or higher at 31.5%, 12°C at 25.5%, and 13°C at 22.5%. Ensemble model guidance diverges due to a passing weak frontal system: ECMWF runs skew warmer (14-15°C) amid mild southerly flow, while GFS implies cooler peaks near 12°C from increased cloud cover and light northerly winds. Historical March averages hover at 11°C, but recent mild anomalies elevate above-normal odds; final differentiation hinges on morning clears and diurnal heating, per hourly updates expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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