Trader consensus clusters tightly around 88-93°F for Dallas's March 25 high, driven by major weather models like GFS and ECMWF converging on upper-80s to low-90s peaks amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas fostering subsidence, clear skies, and radiative heating. Differentiating the leading bins—88-89°F (28%) versus 90-91°F (26.5%) and 92-93°F (22.5%)—hinge on subtle variations in ridge axis positioning, afternoon boundary layer mixing, and cloud cover persistence, per NWS forecast discussions. Low soil moisture from prior dry spells amplifies potential highs above seasonal norms (average ~73°F), though thunderstorm risks introduce uncertainty; latest 12z runs slightly favor 90-91°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
88-89°F 28%
90-91°F 27%
92-93°F 24%
86-87°F 22%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
28%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 28%
90-91°F 27%
92-93°F 24%
86-87°F 22%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
28%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 88-93°F for Dallas's March 25 high, driven by major weather models like GFS and ECMWF converging on upper-80s to low-90s peaks amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas fostering subsidence, clear skies, and radiative heating. Differentiating the leading bins—88-89°F (28%) versus 90-91°F (26.5%) and 92-93°F (22.5%)—hinge on subtle variations in ridge axis positioning, afternoon boundary layer mixing, and cloud cover persistence, per NWS forecast discussions. Low soil moisture from prior dry spells amplifies potential highs above seasonal norms (average ~73°F), though thunderstorm risks introduce uncertainty; latest 12z runs slightly favor 90-91°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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