Official measurements from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and stations at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery and Ezeiza International Airport confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of exactly 21°C on May 7, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and an advancing cyclogenesis—intensifying low-pressure systems with southerly winds—severely limited solar insolation and daytime heating, consistent with SMN advisories for unstable conditions. This aligns with May climatological norms, where highs average 19°C amid autumnal cooling. Realistic challenges are negligible absent rare data revisions from preliminary to final SMN records, expected within days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 7?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$83,330 Vol.
$83,330 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$83,330 Vol.
$83,330 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official measurements from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and stations at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery and Ezeiza International Airport confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of exactly 21°C on May 7, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and an advancing cyclogenesis—intensifying low-pressure systems with southerly winds—severely limited solar insolation and daytime heating, consistent with SMN advisories for unstable conditions. This aligns with May climatological norms, where highs average 19°C amid autumnal cooling. Realistic challenges are negligible absent rare data revisions from preliminary to final SMN records, expected within days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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