Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 22?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 22?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,620 Vol.
$80,620 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,620 Vol.
$80,620 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
16°C or below
$5,158 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,398 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,537 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,974 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,757 Vol.
No
21°C
$13,346 Vol.
No
22°C
$10,121 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,422 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$8,200 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,271 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$9,437 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$80,620End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$80,620End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 23°C as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 22, 2026, backed by confirmed hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), where the peak reached 23°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation (0.2 mm over 24 hours) that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating from morning lows near 16°C. Overcast skies aligned with seasonal patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where April historical highs average around 22°C, limiting adiabatic warming potential. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon clearing allowing a brief spike above 24°C or minor revisions in final CMA daily records, expected shortly after midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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