Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows a narrow range of possible daily maxima centered on the mid-to-upper 90s for July 9, with subtle differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southeasterly flow determining whether the high settles near 96–97 °F or climbs into the upper 90s. July climatology places the average high near 96–97 °F, so the tight market spread between the two leading bins largely reflects uncertainty in the 24–48-hour evolution of the subtropical ridge rather than long-term signals. No major synoptic features or model outliers currently favor extremes outside this window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on July 9?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 9?
96-97°F 41%
98-99°F 37%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 9, 2026
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 41%
98-99°F 37%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 9, 2026
89°F or below
$138 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$58 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$71 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$42 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$123 Vol.
41%
98-99°F
$134 Vol.
37%
100-101°F
$21 Vol.
14%
102-103°F
$238 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$32 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$1,370 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$1,928 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows a narrow range of possible daily maxima centered on the mid-to-upper 90s for July 9, with subtle differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southeasterly flow determining whether the high settles near 96–97 °F or climbs into the upper 90s. July climatology places the average high near 96–97 °F, so the tight market spread between the two leading bins largely reflects uncertainty in the 24–48-hour evolution of the subtropical ridge rather than long-term signals. No major synoptic features or model outliers currently favor extremes outside this window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,156End Date
Jul 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows a narrow range of possible daily maxima centered on the mid-to-upper 90s for July 9, with subtle differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southeasterly flow determining whether the high settles near 96–97 °F or climbs into the upper 90s. July climatology places the average high near 96–97 °F, so the tight market spread between the two leading bins largely reflects uncertainty in the 24–48-hour evolution of the subtropical ridge rather than long-term signals. No major synoptic features or model outliers currently favor extremes outside this window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,156End Date
Jul 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows a narrow range of possible daily maxima centered on the mid-to-upper 90s for July 9, with subtle differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southeasterly flow determining whether the high settles near 96–97 °F or climbs into the upper 90s. July climatology places the average high near 96–97 °F, so the tight market spread between the two leading bins largely reflects uncertainty in the 24–48-hour evolution of the subtropical ridge rather than long-term signals. No major synoptic features or model outliers currently favor extremes outside this window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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