**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs place Houston’s July 9 maximum temperature squarely in the mid-90s, reflecting persistent subtropical ridge influence, light southerly flow, and typical July humidity that limits extreme afternoon heating.** Normal high for the date is 94 °F, and current guidance clusters near this value with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover and isolated sea-breeze or convective activity. The near-even split between the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins captures uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day thunderstorm timing, while lower-probability bins above 98 °F would require stronger subsidence or drier air not currently indicated. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service forecasts issued overnight will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on July 9?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 9?
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 38%
92-93°F 10%
98-99°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 9, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 38%
92-93°F 10%
98-99°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Jul 9, 2026
87°F or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$420 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$245 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$695 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$97 Vol.
38%
96-97°F
$343 Vol.
41%
98-99°F
$178 Vol.
9%
100-101°F
$471 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$389 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$46 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs place Houston’s July 9 maximum temperature squarely in the mid-90s, reflecting persistent subtropical ridge influence, light southerly flow, and typical July humidity that limits extreme afternoon heating.** Normal high for the date is 94 °F, and current guidance clusters near this value with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover and isolated sea-breeze or convective activity. The near-even split between the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins captures uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day thunderstorm timing, while lower-probability bins above 98 °F would require stronger subsidence or drier air not currently indicated. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service forecasts issued overnight will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$4,468End Date
Jul 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs place Houston’s July 9 maximum temperature squarely in the mid-90s, reflecting persistent subtropical ridge influence, light southerly flow, and typical July humidity that limits extreme afternoon heating.** Normal high for the date is 94 °F, and current guidance clusters near this value with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover and isolated sea-breeze or convective activity. The near-even split between the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins captures uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day thunderstorm timing, while lower-probability bins above 98 °F would require stronger subsidence or drier air not currently indicated. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service forecasts issued overnight will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,468End Date
Jul 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs place Houston’s July 9 maximum temperature squarely in the mid-90s, reflecting persistent subtropical ridge influence, light southerly flow, and typical July humidity that limits extreme afternoon heating.** Normal high for the date is 94 °F, and current guidance clusters near this value with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover and isolated sea-breeze or convective activity. The near-even split between the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins captures uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day thunderstorm timing, while lower-probability bins above 98 °F would require stronger subsidence or drier air not currently indicated. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service forecasts issued overnight will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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