Latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 6 at around 28°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher. Morning observations show temperatures already reaching 23°C under partly sunny skies with light winds under 12 km/h, setting up favorable diurnal heating despite expected afternoon overcast conditions and minimal precipitation risk (under 15%). This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 27–29°C support trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include denser-than-forecast cloud cover suppressing peaks to 27°C or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though model ensembles show strong agreement; official hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine this through evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 6?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$24,968 Vol.
$24,968 Vol.
May 6, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$24,968 Vol.
$24,968 Vol.
May 6, 2026
18°C or below
$371 Vol.
No
19°C
$351 Vol.
No
20°C
$320 Vol.
No
21°C
$445 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,361 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,292 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,961 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,839 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,749 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,774 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$4,504 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 6 at around 28°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher. Morning observations show temperatures already reaching 23°C under partly sunny skies with light winds under 12 km/h, setting up favorable diurnal heating despite expected afternoon overcast conditions and minimal precipitation risk (under 15%). This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 27–29°C support trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include denser-than-forecast cloud cover suppressing peaks to 27°C or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though model ensembles show strong agreement; official hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine this through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:41 PM ET
Volume
$24,968End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:41 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 6 at around 28°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher. Morning observations show temperatures already reaching 23°C under partly sunny skies with light winds under 12 km/h, setting up favorable diurnal heating despite expected afternoon overcast conditions and minimal precipitation risk (under 15%). This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 27–29°C support trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include denser-than-forecast cloud cover suppressing peaks to 27°C or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though model ensembles show strong agreement; official hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine this through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,968End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:41 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like AccuWeather project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 6 at around 28°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher. Morning observations show temperatures already reaching 23°C under partly sunny skies with light winds under 12 km/h, setting up favorable diurnal heating despite expected afternoon overcast conditions and minimal precipitation risk (under 15%). This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 27–29°C support trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include denser-than-forecast cloud cover suppressing peaks to 27°C or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though model ensembles show strong agreement; official hourly updates from monitoring stations will refine this through evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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