National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 90–93°F in Dallas today, May 5, under a high-pressure ridge following a mid-week cold front, fueling the market's 100% implied probability for 78°F or higher as traders price in overwhelming consensus from model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. Morning observations at Dallas Love Field already show readings climbing past 72°F amid southwest winds of 10–15 mph and mostly cloudy skies transitioning to partly sunny conditions, aligning with climatological May norms around 84°F highs. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as isolated thunderstorms after 4 p.m. potentially capping peaks via cloud cover—scenarios challenging this would require anomalous cooling or widespread precipitation, deemed improbable by current NWS guidance with only a 20% chance. Real-time updates from official stations will confirm the peak by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on May 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 5?
78°F or higher 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$44,326 Vol.
$44,326 Vol.
May 5, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
Yes
78°F or higher 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$44,326 Vol.
$44,326 Vol.
May 5, 2026
59°F or below
$4,021 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$933 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$799 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$768 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$1,662 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$4,554 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,147 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,236 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$5,414 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$4,912 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$17,881 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 90–93°F in Dallas today, May 5, under a high-pressure ridge following a mid-week cold front, fueling the market's 100% implied probability for 78°F or higher as traders price in overwhelming consensus from model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. Morning observations at Dallas Love Field already show readings climbing past 72°F amid southwest winds of 10–15 mph and mostly cloudy skies transitioning to partly sunny conditions, aligning with climatological May norms around 84°F highs. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as isolated thunderstorms after 4 p.m. potentially capping peaks via cloud cover—scenarios challenging this would require anomalous cooling or widespread precipitation, deemed improbable by current NWS guidance with only a 20% chance. Real-time updates from official stations will confirm the peak by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 3, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Volume
$44,326End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 12:49 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 90–93°F in Dallas today, May 5, under a high-pressure ridge following a mid-week cold front, fueling the market's 100% implied probability for 78°F or higher as traders price in overwhelming consensus from model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. Morning observations at Dallas Love Field already show readings climbing past 72°F amid southwest winds of 10–15 mph and mostly cloudy skies transitioning to partly sunny conditions, aligning with climatological May norms around 84°F highs. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as isolated thunderstorms after 4 p.m. potentially capping peaks via cloud cover—scenarios challenging this would require anomalous cooling or widespread precipitation, deemed improbable by current NWS guidance with only a 20% chance. Real-time updates from official stations will confirm the peak by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,326End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 12:49 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high temperature near 90–93°F in Dallas today, May 5, under a high-pressure ridge following a mid-week cold front, fueling the market's 100% implied probability for 78°F or higher as traders price in overwhelming consensus from model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. Morning observations at Dallas Love Field already show readings climbing past 72°F amid southwest winds of 10–15 mph and mostly cloudy skies transitioning to partly sunny conditions, aligning with climatological May norms around 84°F highs. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as isolated thunderstorms after 4 p.m. potentially capping peaks via cloud cover—scenarios challenging this would require anomalous cooling or widespread precipitation, deemed improbable by current NWS guidance with only a 20% chance. Real-time updates from official stations will confirm the peak by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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