Latest China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble forecasts point to a daytime high in Guangzhou on August 13 between 35–37 °C, with light rain or patchy showers expected to limit full solar heating and create the tight clustering around those bins. Subtropical moisture from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, keeps baseline temperatures elevated, while variable cloud cover and timing of any convective cells introduce the main uncertainty differentiating the 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 33–34 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Traders will watch the next CMA and ECMWF model runs plus local observational updates through August 12 for any shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
36°C 35%
35°C 27%
37°C 22%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
27%
36°C
35%
37°C
22%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
2%
36°C 35%
35°C 27%
37°C 22%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
$464 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$408 Vol.
2%
33°C
$287 Vol.
3%
34°C
$31 Vol.
12%
35°C
$23 Vol.
27%
36°C
$23 Vol.
35%
37°C
$133 Vol.
22%
38°C
$267 Vol.
5%
39°C or higher
$33 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble forecasts point to a daytime high in Guangzhou on August 13 between 35–37 °C, with light rain or patchy showers expected to limit full solar heating and create the tight clustering around those bins. Subtropical moisture from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, keeps baseline temperatures elevated, while variable cloud cover and timing of any convective cells introduce the main uncertainty differentiating the 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 33–34 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Traders will watch the next CMA and ECMWF model runs plus local observational updates through August 12 for any shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter the peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,992End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble forecasts point to a daytime high in Guangzhou on August 13 between 35–37 °C, with light rain or patchy showers expected to limit full solar heating and create the tight clustering around those bins. Subtropical moisture from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, keeps baseline temperatures elevated, while variable cloud cover and timing of any convective cells introduce the main uncertainty differentiating the 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 33–34 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Traders will watch the next CMA and ECMWF model runs plus local observational updates through August 12 for any shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter the peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,992End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration and global ensemble forecasts point to a daytime high in Guangzhou on August 13 between 35–37 °C, with light rain or patchy showers expected to limit full solar heating and create the tight clustering around those bins. Subtropical moisture from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta, keeps baseline temperatures elevated, while variable cloud cover and timing of any convective cells introduce the main uncertainty differentiating the 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 33–34 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Traders will watch the next CMA and ECMWF model runs plus local observational updates through August 12 for any shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions