Recent short-term forecasts for Istanbul indicate highs near 28–29°C on July 2, 2026, consistent with the city’s Mediterranean climate where early-July averages reach about 27–28°C under typical subtropical high pressure. Coastal influences from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara moderate peak temperatures through sea breezes, while late-June warmth has primed the region without evident heat-wave amplification. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over extremes. No major model shifts or anomalous patterns have emerged in the past week to alter this near-normal expectation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 2?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 2?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$41,616 Vol.
$41,616 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$41,616 Vol.
$41,616 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
24°C or below
$1,080 Vol.
No
25°C
$638 Vol.
No
26°C
$848 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,494 Vol.
No
28°C
$11,946 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,405 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,045 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,121 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,126 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,271 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$642 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts for Istanbul indicate highs near 28–29°C on July 2, 2026, consistent with the city’s Mediterranean climate where early-July averages reach about 27–28°C under typical subtropical high pressure. Coastal influences from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara moderate peak temperatures through sea breezes, while late-June warmth has primed the region without evident heat-wave amplification. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over extremes. No major model shifts or anomalous patterns have emerged in the past week to alter this near-normal expectation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$41,616End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts for Istanbul indicate highs near 28–29°C on July 2, 2026, consistent with the city’s Mediterranean climate where early-July averages reach about 27–28°C under typical subtropical high pressure. Coastal influences from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara moderate peak temperatures through sea breezes, while late-June warmth has primed the region without evident heat-wave amplification. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over extremes. No major model shifts or anomalous patterns have emerged in the past week to alter this near-normal expectation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,616End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent short-term forecasts for Istanbul indicate highs near 28–29°C on July 2, 2026, consistent with the city’s Mediterranean climate where early-July averages reach about 27–28°C under typical subtropical high pressure. Coastal influences from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara moderate peak temperatures through sea breezes, while late-June warmth has primed the region without evident heat-wave amplification. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes over extremes. No major model shifts or anomalous patterns have emerged in the past week to alter this near-normal expectation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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