Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles recorded a daily high of 68-69°F on June 2, producing the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with observed surface conditions under a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow typical for early June, with no heat advection or clear-sky amplification to push values higher. Historical climatology for the period shows average highs near 75°F, but recent model guidance and real-time observations confirmed the cooler trajectory. While data revisions remain theoretically possible, established verification protocols make significant shifts highly improbable before final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 2?
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$61,923 Vol.
$61,923 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$61,923 Vol.
$61,923 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 31, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles recorded a daily high of 68-69°F on June 2, producing the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with observed surface conditions under a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow typical for early June, with no heat advection or clear-sky amplification to push values higher. Historical climatology for the period shows average highs near 75°F, but recent model guidance and real-time observations confirmed the cooler trajectory. While data revisions remain theoretically possible, established verification protocols make significant shifts highly improbable before final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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