Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Manila’s maximum temperature on May 23 settling at 37°C, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with typical late-May climatology in the region, where daily highs commonly reach the mid-30s Celsius under similar synoptic patterns. Model consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C, with limited spread unless steering flow shifts or moisture convergence increases cloud cover and convective activity. Isolated thunderstorms later in the day could cap the peak slightly lower, while any unexpected clearing would be needed to push readings into the upper 30s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on May 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 23?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$31,506 Vol.
$31,506 Vol.
May 23, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$31,506 Vol.
$31,506 Vol.
May 23, 2026
30°C or below
$471 Vol.
No
31°C
$902 Vol.
No
32°C
$963 Vol.
No
33°C
$712 Vol.
No
34°C
$8,365 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,652 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,788 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,710 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$4,969 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,787 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$1,186 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Manila’s maximum temperature on May 23 settling at 37°C, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with typical late-May climatology in the region, where daily highs commonly reach the mid-30s Celsius under similar synoptic patterns. Model consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C, with limited spread unless steering flow shifts or moisture convergence increases cloud cover and convective activity. Isolated thunderstorms later in the day could cap the peak slightly lower, while any unexpected clearing would be needed to push readings into the upper 30s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Volume
$31,506End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Manila’s maximum temperature on May 23 settling at 37°C, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with typical late-May climatology in the region, where daily highs commonly reach the mid-30s Celsius under similar synoptic patterns. Model consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C, with limited spread unless steering flow shifts or moisture convergence increases cloud cover and convective activity. Isolated thunderstorms later in the day could cap the peak slightly lower, while any unexpected clearing would be needed to push readings into the upper 30s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$31,506End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Manila’s maximum temperature on May 23 settling at 37°C, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with typical late-May climatology in the region, where daily highs commonly reach the mid-30s Celsius under similar synoptic patterns. Model consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C, with limited spread unless steering flow shifts or moisture convergence increases cloud cover and convective activity. Isolated thunderstorms later in the day could cap the peak slightly lower, while any unexpected clearing would be needed to push readings into the upper 30s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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