Mexico City's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically produces August daytime maxima near 24–26°C, with afternoon convection and frequent showers capping peaks as the rainy season peaks. Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service highlights moderate instability and variable cloud cover for August 3, keeping the daily high most likely between 26°C and 27°C while allowing brief clearing to support the upper end of that range. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing of thunderstorm development, surface humidity, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C; historical August variability and limited recent heat anomalies further support tight clustering around these two outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 3?
27°C 38%
26°C 35%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
35%
27°C
38%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
26°C 35%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
$231 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$323 Vol.
1%
23°C
$323 Vol.
2%
24°C
$41 Vol.
3%
25°C
$5 Vol.
9%
26°C
$16 Vol.
35%
27°C
$83 Vol.
38%
28°C
$9 Vol.
16%
29°C
$17 Vol.
4%
30°C
$14 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$63 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically produces August daytime maxima near 24–26°C, with afternoon convection and frequent showers capping peaks as the rainy season peaks. Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service highlights moderate instability and variable cloud cover for August 3, keeping the daily high most likely between 26°C and 27°C while allowing brief clearing to support the upper end of that range. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing of thunderstorm development, surface humidity, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C; historical August variability and limited recent heat anomalies further support tight clustering around these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,126End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically produces August daytime maxima near 24–26°C, with afternoon convection and frequent showers capping peaks as the rainy season peaks. Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service highlights moderate instability and variable cloud cover for August 3, keeping the daily high most likely between 26°C and 27°C while allowing brief clearing to support the upper end of that range. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing of thunderstorm development, surface humidity, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C; historical August variability and limited recent heat anomalies further support tight clustering around these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,126End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically produces August daytime maxima near 24–26°C, with afternoon convection and frequent showers capping peaks as the rainy season peaks. Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service highlights moderate instability and variable cloud cover for August 3, keeping the daily high most likely between 26°C and 27°C while allowing brief clearing to support the upper end of that range. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing of thunderstorm development, surface humidity, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C; historical August variability and limited recent heat anomalies further support tight clustering around these two outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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