Mexico City's elevation near 2,240 meters typically moderates August highs to a climatological average around 24°C, with the rainy season's afternoon convection and cloud cover often capping peaks. Current trader consensus, with 27°C at 49.5% implied probability leading 28°C and 26°C, reflects expectations of modest warming above baseline amid variable steering patterns and limited moisture early in the month. Model guidance from sources like NOAA and local meteorological services indicates potential for brief clear periods allowing greater insolation, while historical analogs show occasional 27–28°C readings before widespread showers develop. Updated forecast runs and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 2?
27°C 50%
28°C 23%
26°C 22%
25°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
22%
27°C
50%
28°C
23%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 50%
28°C 23%
26°C 22%
25°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
$163 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$141 Vol.
1%
24°C
$135 Vol.
3%
25°C
$148 Vol.
5%
26°C
$288 Vol.
22%
27°C
$336 Vol.
50%
28°C
$497 Vol.
23%
29°C
$138 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$165 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's elevation near 2,240 meters typically moderates August highs to a climatological average around 24°C, with the rainy season's afternoon convection and cloud cover often capping peaks. Current trader consensus, with 27°C at 49.5% implied probability leading 28°C and 26°C, reflects expectations of modest warming above baseline amid variable steering patterns and limited moisture early in the month. Model guidance from sources like NOAA and local meteorological services indicates potential for brief clear periods allowing greater insolation, while historical analogs show occasional 27–28°C readings before widespread showers develop. Updated forecast runs and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,325End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's elevation near 2,240 meters typically moderates August highs to a climatological average around 24°C, with the rainy season's afternoon convection and cloud cover often capping peaks. Current trader consensus, with 27°C at 49.5% implied probability leading 28°C and 26°C, reflects expectations of modest warming above baseline amid variable steering patterns and limited moisture early in the month. Model guidance from sources like NOAA and local meteorological services indicates potential for brief clear periods allowing greater insolation, while historical analogs show occasional 27–28°C readings before widespread showers develop. Updated forecast runs and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,325End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's elevation near 2,240 meters typically moderates August highs to a climatological average around 24°C, with the rainy season's afternoon convection and cloud cover often capping peaks. Current trader consensus, with 27°C at 49.5% implied probability leading 28°C and 26°C, reflects expectations of modest warming above baseline amid variable steering patterns and limited moisture early in the month. Model guidance from sources like NOAA and local meteorological services indicates potential for brief clear periods allowing greater insolation, while historical analogs show occasional 27–28°C readings before widespread showers develop. Updated forecast runs and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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