Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 26?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 26?
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$183,571 Vol.
$183,571 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$183,571 Vol.
$183,571 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
73°F or below
$3,582 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,815 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,572 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$4,939 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$7,517 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$9,001 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$99,881 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$22,617 Vol.
Yes
88-89°F
$17,141 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$8,119 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$7,386 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$183,571End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$183,571End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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