The China Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast models and ensemble runs have converged on a 28°C maximum for Qingdao on June 10, producing the near-certain market-implied outcome. This positioning reflects consistent southerly warm-air advection across the Shandong Peninsula combined with limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime heating to reach the upper end of the seasonal range, which typically averages 23–26°C in early June. Official surface observations from coastal stations and updated numerical weather prediction output show minimal spread around this value, with only small timing or microscale variations possible before the daily peak is recorded. A significant shift in steering flow or unexpected marine-layer intrusion could still alter the final measured high, though current guidance places such changes well outside the most probable scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 10?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 10?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,220 Vol.
$32,220 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,220 Vol.
$32,220 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
22°C or below
$575 Vol.
No
23°C
$663 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,485 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,490 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,308 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,229 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,549 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$4,306 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,883 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,384 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,348 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The China Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast models and ensemble runs have converged on a 28°C maximum for Qingdao on June 10, producing the near-certain market-implied outcome. This positioning reflects consistent southerly warm-air advection across the Shandong Peninsula combined with limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime heating to reach the upper end of the seasonal range, which typically averages 23–26°C in early June. Official surface observations from coastal stations and updated numerical weather prediction output show minimal spread around this value, with only small timing or microscale variations possible before the daily peak is recorded. A significant shift in steering flow or unexpected marine-layer intrusion could still alter the final measured high, though current guidance places such changes well outside the most probable scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$32,220End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The China Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast models and ensemble runs have converged on a 28°C maximum for Qingdao on June 10, producing the near-certain market-implied outcome. This positioning reflects consistent southerly warm-air advection across the Shandong Peninsula combined with limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime heating to reach the upper end of the seasonal range, which typically averages 23–26°C in early June. Official surface observations from coastal stations and updated numerical weather prediction output show minimal spread around this value, with only small timing or microscale variations possible before the daily peak is recorded. A significant shift in steering flow or unexpected marine-layer intrusion could still alter the final measured high, though current guidance places such changes well outside the most probable scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,220End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The China Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast models and ensemble runs have converged on a 28°C maximum for Qingdao on June 10, producing the near-certain market-implied outcome. This positioning reflects consistent southerly warm-air advection across the Shandong Peninsula combined with limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime heating to reach the upper end of the seasonal range, which typically averages 23–26°C in early June. Official surface observations from coastal stations and updated numerical weather prediction output show minimal spread around this value, with only small timing or microscale variations possible before the daily peak is recorded. A significant shift in steering flow or unexpected marine-layer intrusion could still alter the final measured high, though current guidance places such changes well outside the most probable scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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