The market consensus of 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Qingdao on May 31 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak reading under clear conditions with moderate southerly flow. Surface station data from the China Meteorological Administration aligned with regional model outputs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, placing the daily maximum firmly at that threshold. Historical May averages for the coastal city hover near 22–24°C, making the observed value an outlier driven by transient high-pressure ridging. Future resolution criteria rely on verified station maxima rather than forecasts, so only a post-event data revision or measurement discrepancy could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 31?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 31?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,854 Vol.
$43,854 Vol.
May 31, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,854 Vol.
$43,854 Vol.
May 31, 2026
27°C or below
$10,812 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,958 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,669 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,550 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,244 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,592 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$4,192 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,370 Vol.
No
35°C
$942 Vol.
No
36°C
$838 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$685 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus of 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Qingdao on May 31 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak reading under clear conditions with moderate southerly flow. Surface station data from the China Meteorological Administration aligned with regional model outputs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, placing the daily maximum firmly at that threshold. Historical May averages for the coastal city hover near 22–24°C, making the observed value an outlier driven by transient high-pressure ridging. Future resolution criteria rely on verified station maxima rather than forecasts, so only a post-event data revision or measurement discrepancy could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$43,854End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus of 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Qingdao on May 31 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak reading under clear conditions with moderate southerly flow. Surface station data from the China Meteorological Administration aligned with regional model outputs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, placing the daily maximum firmly at that threshold. Historical May averages for the coastal city hover near 22–24°C, making the observed value an outlier driven by transient high-pressure ridging. Future resolution criteria rely on verified station maxima rather than forecasts, so only a post-event data revision or measurement discrepancy could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,854End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market consensus of 32°C as the highest temperature recorded in Qingdao on May 31 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak reading under clear conditions with moderate southerly flow. Surface station data from the China Meteorological Administration aligned with regional model outputs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, placing the daily maximum firmly at that threshold. Historical May averages for the coastal city hover near 22–24°C, making the observed value an outlier driven by transient high-pressure ridging. Future resolution criteria rely on verified station maxima rather than forecasts, so only a post-event data revision or measurement discrepancy could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions