Trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C for Tel Aviv's March 23 high temperature, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting daytime maxima near 20°C amid mild Mediterranean spring conditions. Recent model runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge fostering sunny skies and light southerly winds, tempering sea-breeze cooling that could nudge outcomes toward 19°C, while slight warm-air advection favors 21°C. Historical March averages hover at 19.5°C, but current soundings show drier mid-levels reducing cloud interference for peak insolation around 2–4 PM local time. Low odds for extremes reflect minimal signals of heatwaves or cold snaps in official Israel Meteorological Service outlooks, with resolution hinging on observed maxima at Ben Gurion Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
20°C 28%
19°C 23%
21°C 21%
18°C 19%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
13%
19°C
25%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
8%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
17%
20°C 28%
19°C 23%
21°C 21%
18°C 19%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
13%
19°C
25%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
8%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C for Tel Aviv's March 23 high temperature, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting daytime maxima near 20°C amid mild Mediterranean spring conditions. Recent model runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge fostering sunny skies and light southerly winds, tempering sea-breeze cooling that could nudge outcomes toward 19°C, while slight warm-air advection favors 21°C. Historical March averages hover at 19.5°C, but current soundings show drier mid-levels reducing cloud interference for peak insolation around 2–4 PM local time. Low odds for extremes reflect minimal signals of heatwaves or cold snaps in official Israel Meteorological Service outlooks, with resolution hinging on observed maxima at Ben Gurion Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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