Current forecasts from meteorological agencies, including observations reaching 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds, underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a 23°C high for Warsaw today. Model consensus across sources aligns on this value as the daily maximum, consistent with typical late-May conditions where highs average near 20–22°C amid gradual seasonal warming. Resolution depends on official station readings, which incorporate precise instrumentation and quality controls. Only localized microclimate anomalies or last-hour model shifts could alter the outcome, though current data show no such signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 22?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 22?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$30,998 Vol.
$30,998 Vol.
May 22, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$30,998 Vol.
$30,998 Vol.
May 22, 2026
16°C or below
$542 Vol.
No
17°C
$773 Vol.
No
18°C
$539 Vol.
No
19°C
$822 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,656 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,151 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,393 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,586 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$4,445 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,269 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$1,821 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies, including observations reaching 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds, underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a 23°C high for Warsaw today. Model consensus across sources aligns on this value as the daily maximum, consistent with typical late-May conditions where highs average near 20–22°C amid gradual seasonal warming. Resolution depends on official station readings, which incorporate precise instrumentation and quality controls. Only localized microclimate anomalies or last-hour model shifts could alter the outcome, though current data show no such signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$30,998End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies, including observations reaching 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds, underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a 23°C high for Warsaw today. Model consensus across sources aligns on this value as the daily maximum, consistent with typical late-May conditions where highs average near 20–22°C amid gradual seasonal warming. Resolution depends on official station readings, which incorporate precise instrumentation and quality controls. Only localized microclimate anomalies or last-hour model shifts could alter the outcome, though current data show no such signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,998End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies, including observations reaching 23°C midday under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds, underpin the market's near-certain consensus on a 23°C high for Warsaw today. Model consensus across sources aligns on this value as the daily maximum, consistent with typical late-May conditions where highs average near 20–22°C amid gradual seasonal warming. Resolution depends on official station readings, which incorporate precise instrumentation and quality controls. Only localized microclimate anomalies or last-hour model shifts could alter the outcome, though current data show no such signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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